Saturday, November 21, 2009

Risk Management Overview

Please note that I'm providing a very short and high level risk management overview here. For a deeper coverage on this topic see also PMBOK Chapter 11 (Fourth Edition). There is a ton of information on the web and it makes sense to check several sites to get a better overview.

Risk Management with regards to project management deals with project risk. A project risk is something that has a negative impact on at least one project objective. Note that typically Risk Management also includes opportunities. For this short overview though I'd like to focus on the more common understanding of project risk as described above.

Different people have different perceptions about risks. Some people want to avoid all risks and some  always assume the best and don’t see any risks. It is important to establish a common Risk Strategy at the beginning of the project to ensure a common understanding and proper use of Risk Management. The project manager should determine the priorities with the project sponsor and then update the team.

Some benefits of Risk Management are:

  • minimizes issues and surprises
  • decreases probability of issues occurring
  • increases probability of project success
 In general we can distinguish between the following risk types:

 - Business risk - normal business risk. e.g. Business conditions changes during the project or scope, time, budget for your project is changed
- Insurable risk - This could be e.g. Tornado. The risk should be avoided or at least the impact be reduced (e.g. buy insurance)
- Known risk - e.g. not enough resources available at a particular time to achieve project objectives
- Unknown risk - these risks are always there and you will have to deal with it
To make Risk Management successfull the Project Manager as well as the Project Team has to understand, accept and use the risk management process.

Please note that the Risk management process needs to be applied during all project stages

Example:
- Business requirements are submitted
- Risk Management determines risks associated with these business requirements
- Project schedule is build
- Risk Management determines risks associated with the timeline, resources and effort Estimates

The Risk Management process contains the following 7 steps

1. Identify the risk (e.g. Expert interviews, brainstorming, questionnaires, etc.)
2. Analyze the risk (e.g. how likely is this risk?  High/Medium/Low)
3. Prioritize the risk (e.g. what is more important to you scope, time or budget?)
4. Find an appropriate response to the risk (e.g.
  • Accept the risk – if the risk can’t be avoided, minimized or transfer you will have to deal with this risk
  • Minimize the risk – this means reducing the probability of this risk to occur or at least minimize the impact when it occurs. It’s important to note that the risk cannot be completely eliminated.
  • Transfer the risk – in this case we shift the risk to another party but we do not eliminate the risk
  • Avoid the risk – in this case the risk is eliminated. This means you know about this risk and can plan to avoid it.
5. Execute the response to the risk
6. Evaluate how the execution worked (review risks regularly, e.g. review how the risk probability was impacted etc.)
7. Document the results (e.g. this will provide valuable info for your lessons learned records)

Here is an example of a Risk Management Plan
Column in Excel                                                                                    possible field values


Risk Status                                                                    open, closed
Last Review date
Risk Description
Probability of Risk                                                         High, Medium, Low

Risk Impact                                                                   High, Medium, Low – this is related to the
                                                                                     probability of the risk

Current status (compared to previous status)                  Better, Same, Worse

Risk Owner                                                                   Name of Risk Owner                                  Response                                                                       Accept, Avoid, Transfer, Minimize
Notes                                                                            Additional info’s regarding Response